framework, not advice verify all data independently
TODAY'S GAME PLAN
COMPOSITE REGIME
—/100
AWAITING DATA
HOSTILEMIXEDFAVORABLE
Scores how closely current conditions match the historical sweet spot for 3x long exposure: uptrend + low and falling volatility. A high score is not a buy signal — it means the environment has historically been survivable for leverage.
SCORE HISTORY
DATA SOURCE
Primary source: real S&P 500 index and VIX from Yahoo Finance via this site's own endpoint — all seven fields fill automatically, including VIX five days back. If that endpoint is unreachable (e.g. opening this file directly from disk), it falls back to Finnhub with the key above. You can always overtype any field manually.
MARKET READINGS
TREND & VOLATILITY — THE PICTURE
S&P 500 (12 mo)50-day MA200-day MA
VIX (3 mo)grey dot = 5 trading days ago
FACTOR BREAKDOWN
VOLATILITY DRAG SIMULATOR
S&P 500Naive 3xSPXL (with drag)
POSITION SIZING — RISK CAPS
BACKTEST — WHAT ACTUALLY FOLLOWED EACH REGIME (1990 → NOW)
Loading backtest…
OPERATING RULES
Size so a -40% move in the position is tolerable — that is one bad week for SPXL, not a tail event.
Decide the exit (profit target and stop) before entering. Leveraged positions punish improvisation.
Rising VIX while holding is the primary exit trigger this framework watches — respect it even mid-trade.
Prefer days-to-weeks holds; every added week is an added bet on volatility staying low.